Trujillanos vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 3
TRU
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TRU
3 - 0
ATL
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 0
TRU
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TRU
1 - 0
ZUL
46%
25%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 1
TRU
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
EST
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
ARA
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MIN
2 - 2
ARA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 1
LLA
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |