UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Troyes vs Wolfsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
AIK
1 - 2
TRO
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
TRO
2 - 1
AIK
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2001 |
WIT
1 - 1
TRO
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2001 |
TRO
6 - 0
WIT
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
TRO
1 - 1
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
DNM
0 - 0
WOL
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
WOL
4 - 3
DNM
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
SCF
4 - 1
WOL
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
WOL
3 - 0
EIN
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
S04
2 - 1
WOL
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |