Troyes vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
LEN
3 - 1
TRO
69%
18%
12%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
TRO
4 - 1
REI
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
NIC
2 - 0
TRO
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
TRO
3 - 1
NÎM
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
ASN
2 - 0
TRO
67%
19%
13%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
NAN
3 - 1
VAL
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
VAL
1 - 2
STL
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1976 |
PSG
1 - 2
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
VAL
3 - 2
GIR
44%
27%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
LEN
1 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |