Troyes vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 1
TRO
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
TRO
1 - 1
ASN
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
LHA
3 - 0
TRO
37%
28%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
TRO
2 - 1
FCG
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
TRO
2 - 2
ANG
65%
23%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
VAL
3 - 1
BRC
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
AMI
2 - 2
VAL
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
VAL
2 - 2
SED
29%
28%
44%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 2
LOR
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
LUS
2 - 1
VAL
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |