Troyes vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
41.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
REI
1 - 2
TRO
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SOC
3 - 1
TRO
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 1
LIL
16%
25%
60%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
TRO
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 2
LOR
24%
25%
50%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 1
TFC
41%
29%
31%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TFC
2 - 2
REN
36%
29%
35%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
PSG
2 - 0
TFC
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 1
REI
54%
28%
18%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ASN
0 - 1
TFC
47%
27%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |