Troyes vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
TRO
3 - 0
CAE
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
STL
1 - 0
TRO
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
TRO
0 - 1
ANN
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
TRO
1 - 0
REN
16%
21%
64%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
ROD
2 - 1
TRO
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BRE
2 - 5
PSG
12%
18%
71%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
0 - 3
RMA
4%
11%
85%
|
88 | 100 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
LHA
0 - 1
BRE
23%
25%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 0
BRE
36%
24%
41%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
REN
1 - 2
BRE
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |