Troyes vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
BAS
2 - 0
TRO
44%
25%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
TRO
0 - 4
PSG
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
TRO
1 - 1
SED
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
TRO
1 - 1
LEN
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
GIR
2 - 3
TRO
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
IST
0 - 1
NIC
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
FCM
3 - 3
NIC
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
NIC
0 - 1
LHA
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2001 |
AMI
2 - 0
NIC
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
NIC
3 - 0
FCG
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +2 |