Troyes vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
AMI
0 - 2
TRO
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
TRO
1 - 0
LIL
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
FCG
1 - 0
TRO
45%
27%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
TRO
3 - 1
RED
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
NÎM
2 - 2
TRO
42%
28%
31%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 0
NIO
47%
29%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
ASB
0 - 3
NIC
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 3
CAN
31%
29%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
LMU
1 - 0
NIC
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 0
GUI
29%
29%
41%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |