Troyes vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1975 |
GIR
2 - 2
TRO
63%
21%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
TRO
0 - 1
ASS
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1975 |
PSG
1 - 0
TRO
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
TRO
0 - 1
MET
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1975 |
LEN
1 - 1
TRO
66%
20%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1975 |
NIC
2 - 1
ASN
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
NÎM
2 - 1
NIC
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1975 |
NIC
2 - 0
GIR
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
NIC
2 - 2
LIL
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1975 |
MAR
2 - 1
NIC
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |