Troyes vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
FCG
1 - 2
TRO
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
TRO
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 3
SED
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
MET
1 - 1
TRO
64%
23%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 1
DIJ
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
NAN
2 - 1
AUX
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SOC
2 - 1
NAN
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
NAN
1 - 1
REN
35%
29%
36%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
LYO
3 - 0
NAN
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
NAN
1 - 2
LHA
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |