Troyes vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
TRO
2 - 0
NIC
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
LYO
2 - 0
TRO
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
TRO
1 - 2
TFC
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
NAN
1 - 1
TRO
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
TRO
2 - 2
LMU
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
SED
1 - 2
LMU
40%
27%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
LMU
1 - 1
LOR
51%
27%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 0
LMU
61%
23%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
LMU
3 - 2
VAL
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
TRO
2 - 2
LMU
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |