Troyes vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
TRO
1 - 0
GIR
30%
28%
42%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
NIC
3 - 0
TRO
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
TRO
1 - 0
LYO
18%
24%
59%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
TFC
1 - 1
TRO
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
TRO
1 - 0
NAN
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 1
TFC
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
LYO
1 - 0
LOR
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 1
LMU
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
NAN
0 - 2
LOR
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 0
LEN
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |