Troyes vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
59.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
TRO
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 2
LOR
24%
25%
50%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LYO
4 - 1
TRO
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
0 - 1
VAL
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 2
CRE
84%
12%
4%
|
69 | 24 | 45 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 2
PSG
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 0
FCK
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 2
LIL
21%
27%
52%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
FCK
1 - 0
LIL
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 1
ASN
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |