Troyes vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
REN
1 - 1
TRO
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 1
ASS
28%
27%
46%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 0
TRO
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 3
CAE
38%
25%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 0
MPL
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GUI
3 - 3
MON
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
PSG
3 - 0
GUI
83%
13%
5%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 1
GAZ
64%
22%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 1
GUI
50%
26%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
MAR
30%
26%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |