UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 7-1
Troyes vs WIT Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2001 |
TRO
1 - 1
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
GUI
1 - 1
TRO
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
LEN
1 - 1
TRO
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
TRO
0 - 1
NAN
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
AMI
0 - 0
TRO
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
WIT Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
RIE
2 - 1
WIT
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
WIT
1 - 0
RIE
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
WIT
0 - 0
DTB
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
FCM
1 - 3
WIT
34%
30%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
WIT
0 - 0
LOK
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |