Troyes vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
LUS
1 - 1
TRO
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
TRO
2 - 0
HYE
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 1
TRO
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
ASB
2 - 2
TRO
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
TRO
0 - 0
REI
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
MOU
0 - 0
FCG
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
FCG
0 - 2
LUS
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
FCG
1 - 3
PAC
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LUZ
2 - 0
FCG
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CSL
0 - 0
FCG
29%
28%
44%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |