Troyes vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
TRO
2 - 2
ANG
65%
23%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
IST
0 - 0
TRO
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
TRO
0 - 1
ASS
48%
28%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
STL
4 - 0
TRO
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
TRO
2 - 0
CLE
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
FCG
0 - 0
CAE
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
FCR
0 - 0
FCG
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
FCG
0 - 2
GRE
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
VAL
3 - 1
FCG
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
FCG
1 - 0
BRC
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |