Troyes vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
TRO
2 - 1
ASN
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
GUI
0 - 1
TRO
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 2
TRO
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
TRO
4 - 1
ANG
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2005 |
TRO
0 - 2
STL
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
NIO
0 - 0
DIJ
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
MPL
2 - 0
NIO
63%
22%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
NIO
0 - 0
CHA
35%
28%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
SED
0 - 0
NIO
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2005 |
NIO
1 - 1
BRE
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |