Troyes vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
IST
0 - 2
TRO
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
TRO
3 - 3
ANG
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
ASN
2 - 1
TRO
45%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
TRO
3 - 0
CHA
72%
19%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 0
TRO
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
CAB
1 - 1
STL
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
AUX
1 - 0
CAB
71%
20%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 0
CAB
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
CAB
0 - 0
DIJ
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 0
CAB
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |