Troyes vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
ASN
3 - 0
TRO
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
TRO
2 - 0
LHA
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
FCG
1 - 1
TRO
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
TRO
1 - 0
NIO
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
ANG
2 - 0
TRO
21%
27%
52%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 0
GRE
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
FCR
1 - 4
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAE
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
AMI
0 - 0
CHA
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
CHA
1 - 3
LUS
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |