Troyes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2008 |
GUI
5 - 0
TRO
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
TRO
0 - 1
SED
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 0
TRO
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
TRO
2 - 2
USB
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
DIJ
2 - 2
TRO
38%
29%
34%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2008 |
LHA
6 - 0
BAS
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 2
REI
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
ANG
1 - 1
BAS
42%
27%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 3
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 0
AMI
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |