Troyes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
LEN
3 - 2
TRO
76%
15%
9%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1977 |
TRO
0 - 0
STL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
SOC
5 - 2
TRO
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1977 |
NIC
4 - 1
TRO
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1977 |
TRO
2 - 2
NÎM
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
BAS
3 - 2
FCR
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
SCP
1 - 2
BAS
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1977 |
NAN
2 - 0
BAS
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
BAS
3 - 0
VAL
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
BAS
3 - 2
SCP
33%
26%
42%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |