Troyes vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
GAZ
0 - 4
TRO
26%
28%
46%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 4
AJA
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 0
STL
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
SOC
0 - 2
TRO
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 3
TRO
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
AUX
1 - 2
VAL
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
AUX
3 - 0
ASN
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
DIJ
1 - 0
AUX
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
AUX
0 - 1
ORL
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
ORL
1 - 1
AUX
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |