Troyes vs Amiens SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
TRO
2 - 1
LUS
61%
23%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
CLE
1 - 3
TRO
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
TRO
0 - 0
AMI
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
NIO
0 - 1
TRO
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
TRO
1 - 1
GUI
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Amiens SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 2
AMI
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
AMI
0 - 2
ANG
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
TRO
0 - 0
AMI
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
AMI
2 - 1
DIJ
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2004 |
MPL
0 - 2
AMI
60%
23%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |