Troyes vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2019 |
CLE
2 - 4
TRO
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
TRO
2 - 1
ASN
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
ORL
0 - 1
TRO
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
TRO
2 - 0
RED
70%
20%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
LOR
0 - 3
TRO
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 2
LEN
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
AJA
1 - 0
ORL
33%
26%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
ASN
1 - 0
AJA
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 2
BRE
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
CLE
0 - 0
AJA
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |