Troyes U19 vs Bourg-en-Bresse Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
14º
4º
31
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 0
TRO
29%
23%
49%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 0
BOB
60%
20%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ORL
3 - 2
TRO
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 1
OLY
54%
22%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
DIJ
1 - 2
TRO
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bourg-en-Bresse Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BBP
2 - 2
AUX
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
BBP
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BBP
3 - 2
MON
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MET
3 - 0
BBP
63%
18%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BBP
0 - 2
STR
32%
22%
47%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |