Troyes U19 vs Bourg-en-Bresse Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
5º
2º
24
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 1
TRO
14%
21%
65%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TRO
0 - 0
LEP
88%
9%
4%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
STR
1 - 2
TRO
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TRO
2 - 3
OLY
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CLE
1 - 4
TRO
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Bourg-en-Bresse Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BBP
2 - 1
NAN
16%
18%
66%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 1
BBP
37%
23%
41%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BBP
1 - 0
PAR
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SOC
0 - 0
BBP
82%
12%
7%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 1
BBP
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |