Troyes II vs Thaon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
11º
3º
39
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
5 - 1
TRO
38%
24%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
TRO
6 - 4
MET
75%
14%
10%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
3 - 1
TRO
7%
14%
79%
|
38 | 8 | 30 | -3 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 0
REI
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 1
BIE
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
THA
1 - 1
THL
80%
13%
8%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 1
THA
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
THA
0 - 2
STR
53%
23%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MEZ
1 - 1
THA
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
THA
1 - 1
NAN
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |