Troyes II vs Neuilly Sur Marne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+289%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
7º
14º
7º
10
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 66 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 48 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 46 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 41 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 41 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 41 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 35 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 35 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 32 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 29 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 29 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 23 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 23 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 22 |
14º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
14% | 45.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
TRO
9%
16%
76%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 2
RAC
17%
20%
63%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
REI
3 - 1
TRO
56%
22%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 1
RAO
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
TRO
35%
26%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Neuilly Sur Marne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
FCG
44%
24%
33%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 3
MFC
38%
23%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SML
0 - 1
NEU
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 3
IVR
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |