Troyes II vs RC France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
62.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
7º
14º
7º
12
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
12 | 66 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 48 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 46 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 41 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 41 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 41 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 35 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 35 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 32 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 29 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 29 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 23 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 23 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 22 |
14º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 97% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
14% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
REI
3 - 1
TRO
56%
22%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 1
RAO
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
TRO
35%
26%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 1
BEL
60%
22%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
REI
1 - 2
TRO
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
RC France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
FBB
3 - 4
RAC
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 0
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
USB
3 - 1
RAC
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 2
DIN
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 1
RAC
13%
22%
65%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |