Troyes II vs Prix lès Mézières analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
11º
3º
33
3º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
THA
2 - 0
TRO
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 1
SAR
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MET
0 - 3
TRO
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TRO
4 - 1
THL
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 0
OBE
63%
18%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Prix lès Mézières
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
REI
1 - 0
MEZ
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 0
MEZ
55%
22%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
MEZ
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MEZ
0 - 2
STR
41%
25%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
RAO
1 - 0
MEZ
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |