Troyes II vs Pagny Sur Moselle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 0
TRO
25%
23%
53%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
TRO
2 - 3
MET
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LUN
2 - 1
TRO
26%
21%
53%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
TRO
1 - 1
SAR
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
RCE
1 - 1
TRO
13%
19%
69%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Pagny Sur Moselle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PAG
0 - 3
AMN
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 0
PAG
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FCS
2 - 0
PAG
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
MEZ
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
TRE
2 - 0
PAG
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -2 |