Troyes II vs Montceau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+206%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DRA
1 - 1
TRO
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TRO
2 - 1
SAE
52%
23%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SOC
1 - 4
TRO
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
TRO
2 - 3
BEL
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
RAO
1 - 0
TRO
58%
22%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MON
4 - 1
JUR
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
AUB
2 - 0
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MON
1 - 2
SAR
37%
25%
37%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FLE
0 - 3
MON
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MON
0 - 1
FCM
33%
26%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |