Troyes II vs Jarville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
8º
3º
6
14º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TRO
2 - 0
MEZ
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
STR
1 - 1
TRO
36%
24%
39%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 1
REI
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TRO
3 - 0
ILL
76%
14%
10%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BIE
4 - 0
TRO
25%
23%
52%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -3 |
Matches
Jarville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
5 - 0
JAR
80%
13%
8%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JAR
0 - 3
RCE
43%
23%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
THA
4 - 0
JAR
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
STR
7 - 1
JAR
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MEZ
4 - 0
JAR
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |