Troyes II vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FCM
0 - 1
TRO
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 0
YZE
50%
24%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
VCH
1 - 1
TRO
46%
24%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 1
MON
52%
23%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DRA
1 - 1
TRO
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FLE
2 - 1
JUR
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FLE
1 - 0
RIV
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AUB
1 - 1
FLE
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FLE
3 - 1
SAR
37%
25%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MOU
2 - 0
FLE
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |