Troyes II vs Erstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
TRO
1 - 2
SAR
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
TRO
1 - 1
AMN
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TRO
2 - 0
LUN
62%
20%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 3
TRO
49%
22%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
TRO
3 - 0
RCE
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Erstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ERS
2 - 7
SAR
12%
16%
72%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
FCS
2 - 0
ERS
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LUN
0 - 0
ERS
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ERS
1 - 5
SAR
10%
14%
76%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
NAN
3 - 2
ERS
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |