Tercera Playoffs Galicia Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Tropezón vs Unión Adarve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ADA
0 - 0
TRO
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ALG
4 - 0
TRO
46%
24%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
ALG
53%
24%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
TRO
14%
21%
66%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 0
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Adarve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ADA
0 - 0
TRO
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ALF
0 - 1
ADA
67%
19%
13%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ADA
0 - 0
ALF
26%
24%
51%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ADA
5 - 0
SFN
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
ADA
49%
26%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |