Tropezón vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
17º
2º
30
2º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 67 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 66 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 58 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 57 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 51 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 45 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 38 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 29 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
39.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 18 |
18º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
33.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
63.5% | 16.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 83% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
COL
0 - 2
TRO
16%
21%
63%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TRO
1 - 0
CAS
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
TRO
3 - 1
SIE
74%
16%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 0
TRO
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 0
CUL
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
REV
4 - 1
BAR
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SDT
1 - 2
REV
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 0
REV
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
REV
4 - 0
GAM
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 1
REV
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |