Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Tropezón vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
RAY
2 - 4
TRO
18%
23%
59%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
TRO
4 - 0
SAN
82%
13%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BEZ
2 - 2
TRO
18%
23%
59%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TRO
3 - 0
SEL
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CAY
2 - 2
TRO
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ALZ
0 - 3
CAS
24%
25%
50%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
ORI
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
NUC
2 - 0
CAS
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
REC
84%
12%
5%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
BOR
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |