Tromsø IL vs Sandefjord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
16º
9º
22
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 64 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 54 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 54 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 51 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 36 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 35 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 32 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 36% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ODD
1 - 0
TRO
31%
27%
43%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 2
VKG
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LSK
0 - 1
TRO
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KFU
0 - 1
TRO
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 1
KIL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sandefjord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SDF
2 - 2
BBS
20%
22%
58%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 1
SDF
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SDF
1 - 0
KRI
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SDF
2 - 2
STR
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
S08
2 - 1
SDF
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |