Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 2-1
Tromsø IL vs Metalurh Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 1
RBK
34%
25%
40%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 0
OLI
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 0
TRO
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
LSK
4 - 2
TRO
30%
26%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 1
SOG
61%
23%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Metalurh Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
DNI
2 - 0
MED
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
FKC
2 - 4
MED
25%
26%
50%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
MED
1 - 2
ZOR
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
MED
7 - 0
FKC
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
DYN
1 - 0
MED
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |