Tromsø IL vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 2
TRO
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RBK
1 - 0
TRO
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 0
KUO
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 0
KRI
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
KUO
0 - 1
TRO
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KIL
0 - 3
STJ
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 2
TRO
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 0
KIL
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CER
1 - 0
KIL
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
CER
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |