Tromsø IL vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
SDF
3 - 1
TRO
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
BRY
2 - 1
TRO
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TRO
5 - 0
ULL
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
KRI
1 - 0
TRO
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
TRO
5 - 0
HOD
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FFK
2 - 1
BAR
56%
22%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
NES
2 - 1
FFK
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
FFK
1 - 0
RAN
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
HOD
2 - 0
FFK
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FFK
1 - 2
STR
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |