Tromsø IL vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
VKG
2 - 1
TRO
38%
28%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 0
BBS
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
VIF
2 - 0
TRO
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
TRO
5 - 0
S08
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
RBK
2 - 1
TRO
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 2
FOL
52%
22%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
FOL
3 - 1
ELV
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
SDF
2 - 1
FOL
75%
16%
8%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
HAM
3 - 1
FOL
73%
17%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 3
STB
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |