Q. Europa League Play Offs Final
Global 3-4
Tromsø IL vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
41%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ODD
1 - 0
TRO
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
ATH
3 - 2
TRO
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
0 - 0
STB
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
VIF
4 - 3
TRO
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
SLA
0 - 2
TRO
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FCB
3 - 0
ATH
90%
8%
3%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
ATH
3 - 2
TRO
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
ATH
1 - 2
FCB
7%
14%
79%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
YOB
1 - 2
ATH
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
ATH
0 - 1
YOB
48%
24%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |