Trollhattan FC vs Ariana FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
15º
6º
29
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 68 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 60 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 49 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 46 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 22 |
16º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 18% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trollhattan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
JON
1 - 1
TRO
40%
26%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 1
ROS
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 2
VAN
81%
12%
7%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TRO
5 - 0
FRO
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
OBK
2 - 2
TRO
19%
23%
57%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ariana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LBK
1 - 1
AFC
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
5 - 0
OBK
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 2
AFC
41%
23%
37%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
JON
1 - 0
AFC
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
ESK
2 - 0
AFC
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |