Trogen vs Würzburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
71.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 3
SCH
11%
18%
72%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 2
TRO
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
HOL
38%
24%
38%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 2
BAY
14%
20%
66%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AUB
3 - 0
TRO
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
HOL
4 - 5
WUR
12%
18%
71%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
WUR
6 - 2
KLE
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BAY
0 - 4
WUR
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
AHA
3 - 0
WUR
23%
22%
55%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -3 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
WUR
5 - 1
SAN
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |