Trofense vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
SAL
0 - 1
TRO
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
TRO
1 - 2
SPB
5%
13%
83%
|
38 | 84 | 46 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
COI
1 - 1
TRO
26%
23%
52%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
TRO
2 - 1
GON
51%
26%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 3
TRO
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
AMA
16%
21%
63%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 5
MAR
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
COI
0 - 0
VIL
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 3
CAS
14%
21%
65%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
GON
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |