Trofense vs Varzim B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SMA
3 - 1
TRO
17%
21%
62%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 0
TOR
73%
18%
10%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 1
TRO
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TRO
2 - 2
FEL
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 2
TRO
12%
18%
71%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
FEL
1 - 1
VAR
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 3
SMA
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
ARO
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
VAR
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
3 - 0
MON
41%
23%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |