Trofense vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SCF
3 - 1
TRO
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
TRO
2 - 2
PEN
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
TRO
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TRO
2 - 1
SPC
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ARO
1 - 3
TRO
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
AVE
1 - 0
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
SCF
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 1
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 2
OLI
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 1
BEL
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |